Week one record: 3-9
Week two record: 4-5
Week three record: 5-9
Week four record 8-2-1
Week five record 5-8
Week six record 5-7-1
It's been ugly 30-40-2 is the tally as we head into November needing a huge turnaround to make a profit. I have my four large plays that I will begin with and then move on to the best of the rest.
ECU +13.5 LARGE The Pirates are not as good as in past years but they are still contending in c-usa and tech has been puzzling to say the least. I see no reason ECU can't hang in this one until the end at home.
La Tech +21.5 LARGE If Boise has a chance to lose it;s right here. The Broncos are only 3-2 in the last five visits to Ruston and all of them have been close. Hopefully that trend continues here.
Duke +10.5 LARGE People need to take notice of what David Cutcliffe is doing in Durham. Not since the late 80s early 90s Spurrier teams have the Devils looked this good in the ACC. They are playing with tons of confidence, it's a home rivalry game and UNC is due for a let down. Plenty good enough for me.
LSU +8 LARGE The Tigers have won in their last 4 trips to Tuscaloosa and the Crimson Tide have shown some chinks in the armour in recent weeks. I look for Bama to escape with a close win.
Best of the Rest: (Note: I'm not backing the Mountaineers or fading Iowa. Get your coats out in hell friends. I did however take Miami so the world isn't entirely on end.)
South Carolina +7 Arkansas blows, SC is decent, wrong team favored.
Wyoming +13.5 The Cowboys are much improved and playing for a wining season. After upsetting BYU on the season's opening night what has BYU done? That would be beat up on a bunch of shitty teams and get blown out by TCU and Florida State. A team that aspired to be part of the BCS now has little motivation.
Navy +11.5 The Mids are always ready and control the clock well in this game. They were caught looking ahead last week against Temple, but look for them to score often against an ND team that can't stop anyone. The key will be if Navy can slow down the Irish at all.
Oregon -6.5 I understand that Stanford is solid and that the Ducks are in a letdown spot but this team seems to be on a mission and they simply dismantled a USC defense filled with 5 star players and future NFL draft picks. This team is headed to Pasadena for sure.
Penn St -3.5 Ohio State is just average this year in my opinion and while no world beater in their own right, the Nittany Lions have a much more functional offense that should be able to cover this short number at home.
Tennessee -25 I normally don't back huge favs but this is the proper spot. Kiffin has his players much better and much more motivated. The offense has come along nicely and the defense is just nasty. As the opener against WKU showed he's not afraid to run it up on shitty teams either. Believe me, this Memphis team is sad, and Tommy West's days in the land of blues and barbecue are numbered.
FSU +8.5 It's the schizophrenic bowl where nobody has a clue what either team will do on a given week. I'll take the points with a Noles team that may have turned the corner. These teams are largely even and given that, this spread is just too big.
Nebraska +6.5 Love the black shirts at home against an OU team out of the national and big 12 title picture for the first time in years.
Purdue +6.5 Boy was I wrong about this Michigan team. Rich has to win this ta assure bowl eligibility. How can u back them as favorites given the disaster at Illinois a week ago? I sure can't.
Miami -13.5 Stick a fork in Al Groh and Virginia, they're both done. After flirting with his annual rise from the dead campaign the Hoos have dropped lopsided decisions to both GT and Duke. They may have quit and if they have this will get very very ugly.
Idaho +8 Nobody walks into the mini dome in Moscow and hands the Vandals a Saturday night home loss. Oh wait, my bad, tons of teams do that every season. Not this year though. The Fightin Spuds are undefeated at home and just dispatched a pretty solid La Tech team in Moscow last week.
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