Friday, November 5, 2010

Betting with the Angry Old Man, Week Ten

After everyone else's struggles last week, coming out 2-3-1 has got the ol' Grey Bush fired up to make a late season push for the title. I'm going to try a new concept this week: making picks that don't suck. So without further adieu...

(as always, picks in bold; home teams in CAPS)

OREGON -35 v. Washington
- Washington's offense this season is averaging just under 22 PPG. This includes a 41-point September outburst against a Syracuse team that is dramatically different these days, and a 35-point showing in 2 OTs for their second-highest total of the season. They've been pretty awful of late, with a combined 14 points against Arizona and Stanford the last two weekends. All things considered, I'd say they would have to hold the Ducks under 50 to cover this spread. In Autzen Stadium, I don't think that's going to happen.

UTAH +4.5 v. Texas Christian
- After all the talking I've done this season about how I think the Utes are the best non-AQ team in the country (including picking this very upset a few weeks ago), it would be the bitch-move of the decade for me to stay away from this game. A 4.5 point spread in a coin toss like this usually dictates a stay-away game from me, but I'm not necessarily picking against the line here, as much as I'm taking Utah straight-up (but if the Horny Frogs win by a FG, I'll gladly accept those points)

Virginia -1 @ DUKE
- Am I missing something here? Isn't UVA not half-bad? I don't care if Duke beat Navy or an entire team of Navy SEALS last weekend, they stink.

Air Force -6.5 @ ARMY
- This almost seems too easy...

ROAD DOGG OF THE WEEK:
Arizona +9.5 @ Stanford
- Many Road Dogg candidates this week (including Hawai'i, Maryland, and Northwestern), but this Arizona team has has treated me pretty well this season. Save for the the collective steamer laid at home against Oregon State (and nearly getting Rick-Rolled last week in earning the 7-point push), this team has put together a pretty impressive resume of work on their way to a Top-15 ranking. Ultimately, I think this is a one-possession game that could come down to a final drive.

THE HOMER CALL:
Bye Week +6.5 @ WEST VIRGINIA
- After being subjected to the last two weekends of Stew-Ball, I just don't trust the Mountaineers against anyone.

- Grey Bush

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