Well folks if there is one thing we can all agree on it's that week one of my picks was an unmitigated disaster. Perhaps it was the company I kept as Al and I drank beer in his apartment all day. The only thing more pathetic than my gambling results was my drinking performance. I was pacing nicely at roughly 3 beers an hour for the first 3 hour stretch until we ate dinner, whereupon I gorged myself on pizza and wings like a refugee that just got his hands on some UN donated grain. As a result I was bloated and unable to drink more than a couple beers the rest of the night. It was a truly sad state of affairs.
Anyway back to the football.......
The muddy slop in Blacksburg played right into Tech's running game while limiting Miami's speed, Notre and Kansas were covering but gave up the cover late , Oregon St choked as well and Clemson shouldn't let anyone touch Howard's Rock on the way into the stadium this week. Enough with the excuses. Let's look at the card the gambling gods have given us this week and find some winners.
I normally bet the same amount every game that I play so I'm taking out my level of confidence factor because let's face it, after last week I'm a bit shaken. I have also scaled back to a more reasonable 9 plays this week. In no particular order, I give you what I will term, Bounce Back Saturday.
WVU -17.5 Quite simply the Mountaineers could probably turn the ball over 6 times in this one and still come close to covering. While CU has two quality running backs, the Mountaineer D is geared to stop the run and Cody Hawkins hasn't looked near accurate enough through three games to take advantage of West Virginia's weak pass defense. On the other side of the ball the Buffaloes simply won't be able to stop our high powered offense and assuming we don't stop ourselves, I like this to be a great showcase for us Thursday night beating an overmatched team on national TV. I look for a 49-10 type of game.
Washington +13.5 I have recovered from my delusional state last week in which I actually wagered on the Irish. I will now return to fading them. It feels good doesn't it? The Huskies are a decent team and getting way too many points in this one. What you have to ask yourself is, is Washington any worse than Michigan State or Purdue? I don't think so. In fact I think they are better than those two teams. If Michigan St got 10 and covered easily and a pathetic Purdue squad covered 7, I definetely like the Huskies to cover this number, and maybe even pull out a stright up win.
ECU -2.5 Please. Are the books just giving away money here? I know this has been a competetive series of late and I know Marshall is 3-1 with the nation's leading rusher in Darius Marshall but let's not get carried away. ECU has a putrid pass defense but Marshall's Brian Anderson won't be able to exploit that. I like ECU to win by 10.
Miami +7 Yes I have a permanent hard on for the Canes but 7 points without Sam Bradford is a lot and just because the U had one awful game doesn't mean all is lost. It will be Bounce Back Saturday for the Canes as well as I look for them to win straight up.
Michigan +2.5 I know it's a rivalry game but the wrong team is favored here. Any faith I had in Mich St died when they cost me cash at Camp Randell last week. Even when they have played poorly, Michigan is finding ways to win. Look for that to repeat itself Saturday.
UGA -3 I've been to a lot of college football venues and you'd be hard pressed to come up with a better atmosphere than between the hedges at Samford Stadium. Joe Cox is coming into his own and while LSU avoided disatster last week in Starkville for one of my few covers, there just seems to be something not right about the Bayou Bengals this year. While I'd like for them to be undefeated heading into their game with UF next week, I just don't see them getting out of Athens unscathed.
Auburn +2.5 Again the wrong team is favored. The Tigers offense is incredible and while they may have a weak defense how the hell is jonathan crompton going to exploit that. If UCLA can come in and beat the Vols, and Ohio U can nearly do the same, I see no reason why Auburn can't stay unbeaten as the surprise team of the SEC.
Cuse +7 The fact that this spread is so low tells us either the books still don't respect USF or that they really think Syracuse is a lot better. I tend to agree that the Orange are better. Oh and did I mention the calendar is about to turn to October, something that generally spells season's end for the Bulls. Add in a huge letdown spot after the Bulls emotional win at FSU and you have the makings of a huge upset in the Carrier Dome.
Louisville +7 I think the Cards can hang around Fri night and if it's close it will be fun to see which coach fucks it up for his team more.
Best of Luck to All!
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