Week one record: 3-9
Week two record: 4-5
Week three record: 5-9
Well folks it doesn't get any uglier than this. Over the last 3 weeks I've done my best to shed all credibility whatsoever while dropping units like Syracuse recievers drop passes. I limp into the fourth week of the picks with a 12-23 record. The first 3 weeks of the season feel like forever ago. Whatever, I'm going to turn it around eventually, might as well be this week. I'm short on time this week and I want to get these in before tonight's tilt between Boise and Tulsa. I apologize for less analysis and humorous banter this week. The humor really has been the only redeeming aspect of these picks. Here are 11 I like for what it's worth:
Tulsa +10 If Boise gets tested again this season it's going to be here. I'll take a capable home dog getting double digits on national TV every time.
Cincy -2.5 I have gone back and forth on this game a lot. My buddy contends that this is one of those games where USF really rises to the occassion and knocks a great team off at home at night. Part of me agrees but I just can't shake the feeling that Cincy is really a cut above in this league right now. They have responded to every challenge so far and looked pretty dominant in doing so. USF has played and embarassingly bad schedule consisting of two I-aa's, Western Kentucky, Syracuse, and a Florida State team that hasn't been this bad in decades. I like the Bearcats.
Texas -3 This game has lost some of it's luster with OU having two losses. The Sooners have struggled without Bradord and even struggled with him last week in unimpressively beating a Robert Griffinless Baylor team. Meanwhile, save for as bad first half against Colorado last week, the Horns have looked as good as advertised.
Wisconsin -2.5 I will continue to fade Iowa and Kirk until they lose. This week would do nicely. These are two identical teams. Run run run, play action, play good D, wait for the other team to make a mistake. I love short favs under 3.
WVU -20.5 Since this series resumed we've not won by less than 24. Marshall is better, but the strength of their offense plays into the strength of our D. Darius Marshall is great but our defense can contain anyone's run game, and Brian Anderson doesn't have the arm or the weapons on the outside to exploit our weak pass defense. Marshall's defense has improved but they won't stop our offense, assuming we hang onto the pigskin.
ND +10 I hate the Domers as much as the next guy but SC isn't blowing out decent teams this year and the Irish can score with anyone.
Georgia Tech +3.5 The triple option is nasty and the Jackets will be waiting to ambush the Hokies on Saturday night.
Miami -14 Seriously? Despite the 3-2 record the Knights are just bad. I know they'll be excited hosting one of the "big 3" but the best pre-game speech in the world goes out the window when the ball is kicked off and the athletes take over. Canes.......big.
South Carolina +17.5 I love to fade Alabama after a big emotional road or neautral site win when they return home. Saban has a great knack for getting them up for those big ones, not so much for the games in which they need to back it up at home. In addition South Carolina is 5-1 and not too shabby. Bama wins, but it will be much closer than expected.
Texas Tech +11.....They can and will score with Nebraska. Final posession type game.
Arkansas +24.5 The Hogs can supposedly score on anyone with their high powered offense. That will be put to the test this week against Florida's NFL caliber D. I like them to score just enough to get inside this number.
Best of Luck! I'd take 6-5 in a heartbeat at this point.
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