Pigskin Prognosticator Week 4 Picks

Week 3 Results:

2.2 units to win 2:

1.) LSU -3.5: WINNER
2.) Iowa -3: WINNER
3.) WVU +1: WINNER
4.) ND -4.5: WINNER
5.) Miami -2.5: WINNER
6.) Wash St +6: LOSER

Parlay of these 6 above: .5 untis to win 20 units LOSER

2.2 to win 2
Cincy -34.5 WINNER
Toledo +15.5 LOSER

3 sweetheart teases at 2 units to win 2 units apiece (Even odds bets in which you move 3 lines in your favor 10 points but they all must hit to win.)

Number 1 : LSU +6.5, Iowa +7, WVU +11 WINNER
Number 2 : ND +5.5, Miami +7.5, Washington State +16 LOSER
Number 3 : Tennessee +19.5, Cuse +26.5, Army +17 WINNER

Weekly Recap:
2 unit plays: 6-2
.5 unit parlay: 0-1
2 unit sweetheart teasers: 2-1

+9.1 units week 3

Season Recap:
2 unit plays: 13-6--2
1 unit plays: 1-1
.5 unit parlays: 0-3
2 unit sweetheart teasers: 4-3

+12.8 units on the season

Contest Picks: 5-2 making me 12-6-1 so far.

Great week, netting 9.1 units. I shouldn't complain but I will. Wazzu was up 24-14 in the 3rd quarter and allowed 28 unanswered points to not only blow the cover and the 6 team parlay but also costing me the tease. It could very easily have been a 35.8 unit monster of a weekend. Alas.

On to week 4. I'll spare you the long winded analysis as I'm short on time.

Contest Picks:
1.) ND -6: Pitt secondary weaknesses play right into Irish strengths. Panthers may also be deflated from the collapse in Iowa City.

2.) TAMU -3: No real feel here. I'll take the 12th Man in a shootout.

3.) FSU -3: Following the simple rule of never, under any circumstances betting on Clemson. Classic choke spot for the perennial underachieving Tigers.

4.) Arkansas +12.5: Just seems too high. Even if Bama is comfortably winning, backdoor shuld be wide open late for high scoring Hogs.

5.) VT -18.5: No idea here. Hokies looked very average last week against Arkansas St but the Herd looked abysmal at Ohio. Marshall will play better but VT should wear them down over 4 quarters and beat them handily.

6.) WVU +5: The only way we win is if we play with a lead and put the game in Jarrett Lee's hands. They aren't built to come back. Conversely if they lead in the second half that big offensive line will play keep away and it will be very tough to rally. I'll go with some nightime magic in Morgantown.

7.) Colorado +15.5: Maybe I'm a sucker but I had this line at +7.5. The Buffs are playing better and the Buckeyes have major major issues offensively.

Actual week 4 wagers (my lines may be slightly better or worse than the ones we are locked into as I shop for the best one available and we lock our lines in early in the week):

2.2 units to win 2

1.) Cincy -7: Just don't think this year's brutal version of the Pack can keep up with the Cincy offense. Bearcats also have revenge angle.

2.) UVA -3: This Virginia team is decent. Southern Miss seems a bit down and this line simply seems too short.

3.) Maryland -9: Huge letdown spot for Temple after losing a game they should have won against Penn St. I think the Terps took some confidence from their second half performance last week and they should continue that success here.

4.) Coloraado +15.5: See Above

5.) UGA -9.5: Yes, Ole Miss is absolutely bad enough to the point that I'm willing to lay almost 10 points on the road in the SEC.

6.) ND -6.5: See above

Parlay of these 6 above: .5 untis to win 20 units

3 sweetheart teases at 2 units to win 2 units apiece (Even odds bets in which you move 3 lines in your favor 10 points but they all must hit to win.)

Number 1 : Cincy +3, UVA +7, Maryland +1
Number 2 : Colorado +25.5, UGA +.5, ND +3.5
Number 3 : Michigan pk, WVU +16, Miss St -9.5

That's it for week 4. There will be no adds (They always lose, much like the Toledo loss I added while on the road last Friday) Good luck and remember, a dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned.