Competition Record: 13-15-1
Hard Leans: 9-8
WVU: 2-1-1
Week 1: Competition Plays 1-4-1, Hard Leans 1-2
Week 2: Competition Plays 4-2, Hard Leans 2-3
Week 3: Competition Plays 4-2, Hard Leans 3-0
Week 4: Competition Plays 2-4, Hard Leans 1-1
Week 5: Competition Plays 2-3, Hard Leans 2-2
Rough Week all around, though despite my seat in the cellar I am not discouraged. With apologies to orangutan titties, I'll once again be betting a few off the radar games. Pardon me for having a wide range of knowledge of the sport and not taking the four marquee games that get the most action every week. Of course comparing my record to his, I have no room to talk right now regarding my fball knowledge.
This is the time of year I love with lots of fool's gold lines. If they look too easy over the next 3-4 weeks they ususally are.
1.) UNLV +27.5 vs WVU: Classic sleepwalk game for WVU. We haven't covered this number against any I-A team in Stew era. Combine that with conference play being 5 days away and us likely looking to rest a recovering Josh Jenkins and Noel Devine and I'm not sure what other conclusion you can draw. I'd love to see 56-0, but am starting to think I will never see that again from the Eers in my lifetime.
2.) Ball St. -4 vs Western Michigan: Situation play, have Ball St as darkhorse to win MAC West and Western is in look-ahead spot with Notre Dame on deck
3.) Iowa State +6 vs Utah: How is Utah #10? Anyway, top 10 team favored by just 6 at ISU. Easy cash right? Not a chance. Line opened Utah -8 and has fallen to 6, despite 72% on Utah. Sharp money and Vegas betting on the Cyclones and I will follow suit. Remember the VT-ECU game, same deal here. Fight your logic, be sharp.
4.) Michigan State +4.5 vs Michigan: Wrong team favored. Denard must prove it against a quality defense. Someone forgot to tell Rich defense and special teams are a part of the game as well.
5.) Southern Miss -8.5 vs ECU: Pirates play zero defense and are poorly coached.
6.) NC State -9.5 vs BC: BC offense won't be able to keep pace.
Hard Leans:
Baylor +2.5 vs Texas Tech: Identity crisis in Lubbock, TT offense is a mess
South Carolina +6.5 vs Bama: A week of rest for Lattimore and Co should help. Bama isn't as bulletproof as they looked last week. Lest we forget it took two Ryan Mallet gift INTs for them to escape Fayetville with a win. I think the Cocks are as good or better than Arkansas. They only reason this isn't on the competition picks is I couldnt get it at 7 or 7.5 and this number sucks.
La Tech -1 vs Utah State: That's right I'm betting on Sonny Dyke's team. Same Logic as Iowa St. No reason for La Tech to not be a TD dog. Line opened at La Tech +2 and now they are a short fav despite action on Aggies at 70% rate. Don't question it folks, these hit 70% of the time. Not on competition cause despite the odds, I don't trust La Tech.
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