Competition Record: 19-21-1
Hard Leans: 11-12
WVU: 3-2-1
Week 1: Competition Plays 1-4-1, Hard Leans 1-2
Week 2: Competition Plays 4-2, Hard Leans 2-3
Week 3: Competition Plays 4-2, Hard Leans 3-0
Week 4: Competition Plays 2-4, Hard Leans 1-1
Week 5: Competition Plays 2-3, Hard Leans 2-2
Week 6: Competition Plays 2-4, Hard Leans 2-1
Week 7: Competition Plays 4-2, Hard Leans 0-3
Well I got back on track in the competition plays but still had a losing week thanks to the hard lean failures. I have to admit, I love this card more than any so far this year, which probably means I'll go 3-7. There are tons of great situational spots. The only game I'm not actually betting is WVU and I'll be very disappointed if I don't go at least 6-4 this week. And away we go.
1.) Iowa -5.5 vs Wisconsin: Huge letdown spot at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday. Hawks win comfortably.
2.) Northwestern +5 vs Michigan State: Favorite play of the week. I view the Wildcats loss to Purdue as a departure from the norm and this is a classic look ahead spot for Sparty with Iowa on deck. I like Northwestern to win this one straight up and end the Grey Bush's dream of an undefeated season for Sparty.
3.) Georgia -3.5 at UK: The desperate Dawgs have figured it out offensively and could still factor into the SEC East race seeing as how that once proud division has turned into an underachieving pile of mediocrity this year. Add in a a letdown spot for the Cats and I like Georgia to get this done.
4.) LSU +6 at Auburn: I'm starting to get that team of destiny feel with the LSU. Think Ohio State circa 2002. That was a team that could have easily been 7-5 or 8-4 but just found a way every week. We'll see how Cam Newton fairs against a nasty defense. I just hope it's close late so Les Miles can screw something up and yet still phone one in to Lucifer in his apparent deal with the Devil.
5.) ECU -12.5 vs Marshall: I have tremendous respect for Vegas and I don't throw the term "gift" around very often but this is just ridiculous. There is no way Marshall's young secondary can stop this passing attack. I guess the books are counting on the Herd to score with them by taking advantage of a porous Pirate defense, but MU has yet to play competitive at all on the road. That trend continues this week.
6.) WVU -14 vs Syracuse: If Pitt can score 45 on the road pitching a catching the football, we should have similar success.
Hard Leans
1.) SMU -7.5 vs Houston
2.) Cincy -7.5 vs USF
3.) Nebraska -5.5 at Okie State: Pokes are frauds and pretenders plain and simple. Let's see how they do against the nation's best pass defense.
4.) Louisville -1 vs Uconn: An easy line just got easier with the suspension of the Huskies starting guard and QB Cody Endres, who finally seemed to give Uconn some life offensively. You have to think Edsall regrets not taking another job at this point. Good preseason conf champ pick Herbie.
5.) Cal -3.5 vs Arizona State: This one looks scary on the surface, especially in light of the Bears stinker at USC last week. Scary that is until you realize that the Bears are perhaps the most Jekyl and Hyde team between home vs away in the country. Consider these stats: Home: 3-0, winning by a combined score of 139-17. Road: 0-3, losing by a combined score of 110-54. This one's at home vs a woefully underachieving ASU squad.
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